One-year mortality in COVID-19 is associated with patients' comorbidities rather than pneumonia severity.

BACKGROUND: In patients with pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome who survived hospitalization, one-year mortality can affect up to one third of discharged patients. Therefore, significant long-term mortality after COVID-19 respiratory failure could be expected. The primary outcome of the present study was one-year all-cause mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Observational study of COVID-19 patients hospitalized at Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital (Bergamo, Italy), during the first pandemic wave. RESULTS: A total of 1326 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized. Overall one-year mortality was 33.6% (N 446/1326), with the majority of deaths occurring during hospitalization (N=412, 92.4%). Thirty-four patients amongst the 914 discharged (3.7%) subsequentely died within one year. A third of these patients died for advanced cancer, while death without a cause other than COVID-19 was uncommon (8.8% of the overall post-discharge mortality). In-hospital late mortality (i.e. after 28 days of admission) interested a population with a lower age, and fewer comorbidities, more frequentely admitted in ICU. Independent predictors of post-discharge mortality were age over 65 years (HR 3.19; 95% CI 1.28-7.96, p-value=0.013), presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (HR 2.52; 95% CI 1.09-5.83, p-value=0.031) or proxy of cardiovascular disease (HR 4.93; 95% CI 1.45-16.75, p-value=0.010), and presence of active cancer (HR 3.64; 95% CI 1.50-8.84, p-value=0.004), but not pneumonia severity. CONCLUSIONS: One-year post-discharge mortality depends on underlying patients' comorbidities rather than COVID-19 pneumonia severity per se. Awareness among physicians of predictors of post-discharge mortality might be helpful in structuring a follow-up program for discharged patients.

Extent and Distribution of Parenchymal Abnormalities in Baseline CT-Scans Do Not Predict Awake Prone Positioning Response in COVID-19 Related ARDS.

Prone positioning is frequently used for non-intubated hypoxemic patients with COVID-19, although conclusive evidence is still lacking. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether baseline CT-scans could predict the improvement in oxygenation in COVID-19 related Acute respira-tory syndrome (ARDS) patients when pronated. METHODS: A retrospective study of COVID-19 patients who underwent non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and prone positioning was conducted. RESULTS: Forty-five patients were included. On average, 50% of the overall lung volume was affected by the disease, as observed in the CT-scans, with ground glass opacities (GGOs) and consolidations accounting for 44% and 4%, respectively. The abnormalities were mainly posterior, as demonstrated by posterior/anterior distribution ratios of 1.5 and 4.4 for GGO and consolidation, respectively. The median PaO2/FiO2 ratio during NIV in a supine position (SP1) was 140 [IQR 108-169], which improved by 67% (+98) during prone positioning, on average. Once supine positioning was resumed (SP2), the improvement in oxygenation was maintained in 28 patients (62% of the overall population, categorized as "responders"). We found no significant differences between responders and non-responders in terms of the extent (p = 0.92) and the distribution of parenchymal abnormalities seen in the baseline CT (p = 0.526). CONCLUSION: Despite the lack of a priori estimation of the sample size, considering the absence of any trends in the differences and correlations, we can reasonably conclude that the baseline chest CT-scan does not predict a gas-exchange response in awake prone-positioned patients with COVID-19 related ARDS. Physicians dealing with this category of patients should not rely on the imaging at presentation when evaluating whether to pronate patients.